Produktivity

2005-10-22

Rumours of my death have been greatly exaggerated

I never did find out what happened to Kunjilal but I predict that I'll be back to more regular postings soon, though it's sometimes hard to separate out work from blog in a way that leaves both creating their own value.

I've been musing over a few things this past week:
Richard Stastny with his key comment 'So either [telcos] concentrate at the problem at hand they can solve and where they still can earn money: the access, or also this will be taken away from them by independant fiber providers.' In other words, forget triple plays and throw to first!

James Enck (among others, but he predicted it and has a great inside story to tell) reports on the acquisition of EasyNet by Sky TV (largely owned by NewsCorp). NewsCorp are certainly behaving strangely for a company that doesn't see a huge shift towards the internet for all content/media related industries. Personally, I think they are acquiring the right companies, so far, but time will tell if their management can keep them moving forward in their respective internet niches, or if some other small startup will overhaul them, once they get stuck in the NewsCorp machine.

Kevin Werbach peers into the crystal ball a little deeper than most and raises some warning flags about the freedom of the web and in particular the legal challenges that are being raised to Google print, and the evolution of VPNs to suck in all of a consumers internet use to a single network, where it can be controlled/monitored and monetized (think of Neilsen in the US TV ratings)

Even Meg Whitman was at it, predicting that all voice communication on the net will be free in 3-6 years. As Kevin Werbach said, the mobile companies probably have a few years beyond that, but it's the inevitable endpoint.

It also seems clear to me that DNS days are numbered, David Cameron will be the next Conservative leader and they still won't win, Hearts will win the Premier League in Scotland, England will not win the World Cup in 2006, Presence will be the entry point to the web, Handset manufacturers will demand that operators sell their branded devices rather than the other way round, NewsCorp will outsell Apple in content download and FON will become a primary network for delivery of mobile content.

Anyone care to give me odds??

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